Record One-Day Increase In Global Silver Investment Inventories

Global silver investment inventories jumped by a record one-day increase after the large sell-off and the silver price recovery on Tuesday.  It’s been nearly a decade since the Global Silver ETF and Exchange Inventories increased by such a large amount in one day.  The overwhelming majority of the increase was due to the iShares SLV ETF.

Here is the Global Silver Inventories from  As you can see, the global silver inventories jumped by over 20 million oz on January 19th.

With the record one-day increase, global silver inventories are now at a new all-time high of 1.54 billion oz.  If you look at the bottom of the chart that shows the daily inflow-outflow of silver metal in the Global Silver ETF & Exchange inventories, the peak average was about 10 million oz in a day.  However, on January 19th, it increased by double that amount to 20 million oz.

As I mentioned, most, if not all, of the increase came from the metal inflows into the SLV ETF.  Is it possible for 20 million oz of silver to move into the SLV ETF in one day?  I believe it is, but it’s more of an accounting transaction.  The silver bars may already be in one of five JP Morgan vaults in London and New York that are storing the metal, and all they do is acquire the Silver Bar Serial numbers and put them in their account.

Here is the first page of JP Morgan’s Silver Bar List for January 20th:

JP Morgan lists 590,605 silver bars weighing ~1,000 oz.  Most bars are less than 1,000 oz.  However, if you go to the iShares SLV ETF website and click on the Silver Bar List link, you can look at all individual bars, serial numbers, weight, and the refinery-wholesaler that it came from.

Now, could this list be fabricated to some degree?  I suppose so.  But, I really don’t care in the end.  What matters most to me is that investors purchase and store their own silver metal and use the Silver ETF Demand as a barometer of how much the regular investor is becoming interested in silver.  99% of investors will buy the Silver ETF, but that will change in time.  However, if we just get 2-3% of that 99% buying real physical silver… it’s GAME OVER.  That time is still in front of us.

When will we see more of the 99% buying physical silver?  When the world begins to head over the ENERGY CLIFF, more investors will start to buy physical silver to protect wealth.  Also, certain regions of the world will be impacted more by the ENERGY CLIFF than other areas.

Interestingly, the 20 million oz one-day increase in the SLV ETF inventories is that it took place during a large sell-off and recovery of the silver price on January 19th.  The silver price fell to $24.04 and then hit a high of nearly $25.50 in just one day.  It seems as if JP Morgan’s SLV ETF managers took advantage of the selloff to add more metal to the inventories.  This is regardless of whether all the metal is there or not.  Again, I could care less.  You can spot the price action labeled as #3.

I included #1 & #2 because we provide a more detailed analysis for Silver & Gold Members at the SRSrocco Report.  In August & September, I told Silver & Gold Members that the silver price was likely going to experience a selloff once it broke below the SYMMETRICAL TRIANGLE shown in #1.  During my interview on Silver Bullion TV, I stated this publicly, Steve St Angelo – This Bull Market Won’t End as Gold is Regaining Its Monetary Role.

When the silver price was forming a RISING WEDGE in #2, I posted several times that it was setting up for another correction lower.  While the price drop was large during the #1 & #2 corrections, this typical for most commodities and stocks.

Lastly, I believe the broader markets will still experience a 5-10% correction soon.  The technical indicators are still at extreme levels.  Once this correction occurs, it will likely take down the metals and miners with it.  So, be prepared.

We will be providing more TRADE ALERTS opportunities for Gold Members to take advantage of this volatility and know when it is better to go LONG or SHORT mining stocks.  We also plan to provide more Trade Alerts on other sectors as well.

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DISCLAIMER: SRSrocco Report provides intelligent, well-researched information to those with interest in the economy and investing. Neither SRSrocco Report nor any of its owners, officers, directors, employees, subsidiaries, affiliates, licensors, service and content providers, producers or agents provide financial advisement services. Neither do we work miracles. We provide our content and opinions to readers only so that they may make informed investment decisions. Under no circumstances should you interpret opinions which SRSrocco Report or Steve St. Angelo offers on this or any other website as financial advice.

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8 Comments on "Record One-Day Increase In Global Silver Investment Inventories"

  1. DisappearingCulture | January 21, 2021 at 3:33 pm |

    “The silver bars may already be in one of five JP Morgan vaults in London and New York that are storing the metal, and all they do is acquire the Silver Bar Serial numbers and put them in their account.”

    Quite possibly this is all that happens, other than an email signifying a transaction has taken place. A paper or electronic promise, in exchange for the currency you have just bought with.
    In no way should a person buying into a silver ETF think they actually own silver.

  2. DisappearingCulture | January 21, 2021 at 3:41 pm |

    “99% of investors [interested in investing in silver] will buy the Silver ETF, but that will change in time.”

    This is a public access article. Potential new readers all the time. Great opportunity to expound on what you mean by:
    “However, if we just get 2-3% of that 99% buying real physical silver… it’s GAME OVER.”


    • If 2-3% of the 99% (that haven’t bought) start buying, there will be, As Ross Perot once said, “a giant sucking sound”.

      However, this time it will heading in a northerly direction.

  3. Thanks Steve, you guys do impressive trading!

    • Hughes,

      Thanks for the kind words. We are just starting our TRADE ALERT-TRIGGER SYSTEM. We will be sharing more over time. We believe our TRADE ALERT subscribers will be able to see the opportunities that we provide on a Short-term (DAYS-WEEKS), Mid-term (WEEKS-MONTHS), and Longer-term (MONTHS-YEAR+).


  4. Great information Steve, thanks! Can I ask, what determines the increase in holdings for SLV? Is it just their share price increase or something else? Because the share price was over 10% higher in August.

    • dpeckerman,

      Honestly, I am not quite sure what determines the amount of silver in the SLV ETF. Logic suggests it’s based upon the silver price and investor demand for the SLV ETF. I plan on reading the 2020 10-K when it’s released in April to see what determines the inventory levels.


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